AJ Johnson
2026-27 projection
Built from his last three seasons, age and role. It is replaced by real stats after the first game.
FG 36.4% · FT 84.8% · TOV 0.9
- 2025-26 (48 GP), 2024-25 (29 GP) — weighted 3/2.
- Rates regressed 300 min toward the G average.
- Age 21 at season start → +4% production.
- Availability 54% of games → 44 GP, 13.5 MPG.
Season at a glance
2025-26 · every team game, coloured by FP. Hatched squares are games he missed (32).
Floor & ceiling
48 games · every dot is one game. Shaded: where the middle half of G players average.
Boom games (≥ 1.25× his average): 33.3% · Bust games (≤ 0.75×): 60.4%
Role & minutes
No sustained change of role this season. Played games only; hover to read a game in both panels.
Situations
Fantasy points per game versus his own average. Bars show the middle half of games; faded rows have fewer than 4 games.
Season average: ±0.0
Playing style
2025-26 · how he plays versus other Gs with 20+ games. P-values are approximate percentiles; neither end is better or worse, it is style.
Career arc
Production and availability by season. Click a season to open it above.
Fantasy points per game
Games played
When AJ sits
Teammates' fantasy points per game when AJ Johnson is out versus in. Only teammates with 5+ games each way; the small number is games without him.
Similar players
Closest style in 2025-26: per-36 scoring, rebounding, playmaking, defence, threes and turnovers, plus shooting percentages. 100% would be an identical profile.
WAS · PF · 19.4 FP/G · alike in FG% and FT%
- Drake Powell79%
BKN · SG · 12.2 FP/G · alike in FG% and FT%
ATL · C · 9.0 FP/G · alike in FG% and scoring
- Sion James75%
CHA · SF · 14.4 FP/G · alike in FG% and scoring
HOU · SG · 14.4 FP/G · alike in FG% and steals
- Will Riley75%
WAS · SG · 18.1 FP/G · alike in FG% and shot blocking
2026-27 market
ESPN drafts him around pick 140.0, 280 spots higher than his #420 finish in 2025-26: the board is paying for more than he delivered.