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Player

Dereck Lively II

Dallas Mavericks C 22 yrs 7-1 · 230 lb Drafted 2023 · R1 #12 No 2026-27 games yet
Contract year
OUT · Foot

2026-27 projection

Projected
Medium confidence

Built from his last three seasons, age and role. It is replaced by real stats after the first game.

FP / game
25.6
+7.2 vs 2025-26
PTS
8.7
+4.4 vs 2025-26
REB
7.3
+2.0 vs 2025-26
AST
1.9
+0.1 vs 2025-26
STL
0.6
BLK
1.5
3PM
0.1
Games
30
22.6 min

FG 68.3% · FT 63.2% · TOV 1.2 · Known injury (Foot): games already reduced

  • 2025-26 (7 GP), 2024-25 (36 GP), 2023-24 (55 GP) — weighted 3/2/1.
  • Rates regressed 300 min toward the C average.
  • Age 22 at season start → +4% production.
  • Availability 37% of games → 30 GP, 22.6 MPG.
Fantasy pts / game
18.4
Availability
7 / 82
8.5% of team games
Consistency
11–25
Floor to ceiling (P10–P90 of games)
Boom / bust
43% / 29%
Games ≥ 1.25× / ≤ 0.75× his average

Season at a glance

2025-26 · every team game, coloured by FP. Hatched squares are games he missed (75).

LowHighDidn't play

Floor & ceiling

7 games · every dot is one game. Shaded: where the middle half of C players average.

C P25–P75 average

Boom games (≥ 1.25× his average): 42.9% · Bust games (≤ 0.75×): 28.6%

Playing style

2025-26 · how he plays versus other Cs with 20+ games. P-values are approximate percentiles; neither end is better or worse, it is style.

True shooting
3-point rate
Free-throw rate
Usage
Turnovers /36
Volatility
HimMiddle half of Cs10th–90th percentileMedian

Career arc

Production and availability by season. Click a season to open it above.

Fantasy points per game

23-24: 23.9, 24-25: 26.5, 25-26: 18.4

Games played

Games playedTeam games

When Dereck sits

Teammates' fantasy points per game when Dereck Lively II is out versus in. Only teammates with 5+ games each way; the small number is games without him.

Similar players

Closest style in 2025-26: per-36 scoring, rebounding, playmaking, defence, threes and turnovers, plus shooting percentages. 100% would be an identical profile.

2026-27 market

ESPN drafts him around pick 140.9.

Average draft pick
140.9
ESPN rank
#153
Auction value
$0
ESPN rostered
7%