Luke Kennard
2026-27 projection
Built from his last three seasons, age and role. It is replaced by real stats after the first game.
FG 50.0% · FT 89.3% · TOV 0.9 · Known injury (Knee): games already reduced
- 2025-26 (78 GP), 2024-25 (65 GP), 2023-24 (39 GP) — weighted 3/2/1.
- Rates regressed 300 min toward the G average.
- Age 30 at season start → −1.5% production.
- 2023-24 (39 GP) treated as a one-off injury season — counted at the availability of the other seasons (87%).
Season at a glance
2025-26 · every team game, coloured by FP. Hatched squares are games he missed (6).
Floor & ceiling
78 games · every dot is one game. Shaded: where the middle half of G players average.
Boom games (≥ 1.25× his average): 33.3% · Bust games (≤ 0.75×): 32.1%
Role & minutes
Into the starting five on Apr 5. Played games only; hover to read a game in both panels.
Situations
Fantasy points per game versus his own average. Bars show the middle half of games; faded rows have fewer than 4 games.
Season average: ±0.0
Playing style
2025-26 · how he plays versus other Gs with 20+ games. P-values are approximate percentiles; neither end is better or worse, it is style.
Career arc
Production and availability by season. Click a season to open it above.
Fantasy points per game
Games played
When Luke sits
Teammates' fantasy points per game when Luke Kennard is out versus in. Only teammates with 5+ games each way; the small number is games without him.
Similar players
Closest style in 2025-26: per-36 scoring, rebounding, playmaking, defence, threes and turnovers, plus shooting percentages. 100% would be an identical profile.
UTA · SF · 16.1 FP/G · alike in FT% and shot blocking
DEN · SF · 23.0 FP/G · alike in turnovers and FT%
- Ayo Dosunmu79%
MIN · PG · 26.3 FP/G · alike in FT% and rebounding
- Josh Green79%
UTA · SF · 9.1 FP/G · alike in FT% and scoring
SAS · PF · 17.8 FP/G · alike in turnovers and rebounding
ORL · SG · 19.5 FP/G · alike in FT% and turnovers
2026-27 market
ESPN drafts him around pick 140.3, 139 spots higher than his #279 finish in 2025-26: the board is paying for more than he delivered.