Tolu Smith
2026-27 projection
Built from his last three seasons, age and role. It is replaced by real stats after the first game.
FG 49.6% · FT 71.2% · TOV 0.6
- 2025-26 (15 GP), 2024-25 (1 GP) — weighted 3/2.
- Rates regressed 300 min toward the league average.
- Age 26 at season start → +1% production.
- Availability 23% of games → 18 GP, 11 MPG.
Season at a glance
2025-26 · every team game, coloured by FP. Hatched squares are games he missed (67).
Floor & ceiling
15 games · every dot is one game. Shaded: where the middle half of F players average.
Boom games (≥ 1.25× his average): 33.3% · Bust games (≤ 0.75×): 53.3%
Role & minutes
No sustained change of role this season. Played games only; hover to read a game in both panels.
Situations
Fantasy points per game versus his own average. Bars show the middle half of games; faded rows have fewer than 4 games.
Season average: ±0.0
Playing style
2025-26 · how he plays versus other Fs with 20+ games. P-values are approximate percentiles; neither end is better or worse, it is style.
Career arc
Production and availability by season. Click a season to open it above.
Fantasy points per game
Games played
When Tolu sits
Teammates' fantasy points per game when Tolu Smith is out versus in. Only teammates with 5+ games each way; the small number is games without him.
Similar players
Closest style in 2025-26: per-36 scoring, rebounding, playmaking, defence, threes and turnovers, plus shooting percentages. 100% would be an identical profile.
- Ivica Zubac88%
IND · C · 31.9 FP/G · alike in rebounding and 3-point volume
POR · C · 34.7 FP/G · alike in rebounding and shot blocking
- Yves Missi87%
NOP · C · 19.3 FP/G · alike in shot blocking and 3-point volume
NYK · C · 21.6 FP/G · alike in rebounding and 3-point volume
- Steven Adams86%
HOU · C · 21.2 FP/G · alike in rebounding and 3-point volume
- Nic Claxton85%
CHI · C · 29.5 FP/G · alike in 3-point volume and rebounding