2026-27 projection
Built from his last three seasons, age and role. It is replaced by real stats after the first game.
FG 51.1% · FT 81.3% · TOV 0.5
- 2025-26 (9 GP), 2024-25 (1 GP) — weighted 3/2.
- Rates regressed 300 min toward the league average.
- Age 26 at season start → +1% production.
- Availability 19% of games → 15 GP, 9 MPG.
Season at a glance
2025-26 · every team game, coloured by FP. Hatched squares are games he missed (31).
Floor & ceiling
9 games · every dot is one game. Shaded: where the middle half of F players average.
Boom games (≥ 1.25× his average): 33.3% · Bust games (≤ 0.75×): 55.6%
Role & minutes
No sustained change of role this season. Played games only; hover to read a game in both panels.
Situations
Fantasy points per game versus his own average. Bars show the middle half of games; faded rows have fewer than 4 games.
Season average: ±0.0
Playing style
2025-26 · how he plays versus other Fs with 20+ games. P-values are approximate percentiles; neither end is better or worse, it is style.
Career arc
Production and availability by season. Click a season to open it above.
Fantasy points per game
Games played
When Riley sits
Teammates' fantasy points per game when Riley Minix is out versus in. Only teammates with 5+ games each way; the small number is games without him.
Similar players
Closest style in 2025-26: per-36 scoring, rebounding, playmaking, defence, threes and turnovers, plus shooting percentages. 100% would be an identical profile.
- Ayo Dosunmu84%
MIN · PG · 26.3 FP/G · alike in FT% and FG%
- Desmond Bane80%
ORL · SG · 33.7 FP/G · alike in FT% and scoring
- Luke Kennard72%
PHX · SG · 16.2 FP/G · alike in FT% and FG%
- Zach LaVine67%
SAC · SG · 26.9 FP/G · alike in FT% and rebounding
- Tyler Herro66%
MIL · SG · 33.7 FP/G · alike in FT% and scoring
MIN · SF · 28.6 FP/G · alike in FT% and FG%
2026-27 market
ESPN drafts him around pick 140.0.